Should you be a keen football punter then no doubt you’ll have sifted through multitudes of online soccer tipping websites to view what services are out there. Frankly, it’s difficult to avoid misleading terms including ‘sure bet,’ ‘banker,’ ‘dead cert’ or ‘guaranteed winner.’ Many tipsters actually incorporate these terms into the URL of their sites in the hope of increasing the quantity of sign ups. As a punter and tipster this hugely frustrates me. Without opening up the cans of worms which are the laws of mathematics and statistics, the easy indisputable truth is that there is no such thing as a sure outcome in soccer, or sport. If a dead cert outcome did exist there would be no bookmakers in business to cover our bets. Sometimes I read the introductory few paragraphs which insist that the Vegus168sure possesses an exclusive secret method for picking guaranteed winners. I believe that it should be illegal to make such misleading claims.
Having a lot more than twenty years of trials and tribulations being a football or ‘soccer’ punter, I can categorically let you know that the complete notion of a dead cert is not only false, but is at itself a contradiction. When the result of a particular soccer match had been a guarantee, then surely there would be no requirement for the teams to accomplish battle for ninety minutes. Also, bookmakers could be clinically insane to protect bets on a game whose result was a certainty. I realise that I’m possibly being facetious inside my last few sentences, but it’s scary to note the quantity of reasonably intelligent people who will believe anything that’s written in print with a so-called ‘expert’.
Once I began providing suggestions to people via my website, I incorporated a ‘Banker Section’ weekly. Now, the idea of this section would be to advise that, having done hours of research and analysis on various games, I seriously couldn’t see some other outcome than, for instance, a home win. In case a game through the Banker Section resulted in a shock outcome, I’d suffer as both a tipster along with a punter. It effectively made my tipping skills seem incompetent for some my members, not to mention I’d also have personally experienced a sizable bet on the game. Two games still stick inside my mind and carry back uncomfortable memories.
April 10 2010, Scottish Cup: Glasgow Celtic – 2 Ross County.
Premier League giants Celtic were unceremoniously dumped from the cup by First Division side Ross County, completing one of the primary upsets in Scottish football history. Many soccer accumulator or multi-bets were subsequently torn up in disgust by outraged punters.
February 21 2010, Dutch League: PSV Eindhoven 1 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam.
This game had been priced as little as 1.09 by bookmakers for a home win, such was the ‘certainty’ of the outcome. PSV had won eleven league games in a row in Eindhoven and were facing a Sparta side who had already lost twelve of their away games that season, and who also went on to be relegated. To include insult to injury, Sparta scored their equalizing goal three minutes into buharh time.
Huge upset results like these obviously ruin accumulator bets, but more significantly they highlight because you can never ever be certain concerning the results of a soccer bet.
Shortly afterward I did so away using the ‘Banker Section’ of my website and instead I personally use a ranking system between 1 and 10. The greatest ranking I assign to any selection is 9/10, as 10/10 equates to 100%, as well as predict a football contest with 100% certainty is, as discussed above, not realistic or possible. The better time and energy you set into invaluable research and analysis, the much better chance you might have of choosing a winner. There is, however, no magic formula for predicting huge upsets which happen time and again even inside the most unlikely scenarios.